Neuro-Fuzzy Cost Estimation Model Enhanced by Fast Messy Genetic Algorithms for Semiconductor Hookup Construction

نویسندگان

  • Fan-Yi Hsiao
  • Shih-Hsu Wang
  • Wei-Chih Wang
  • Chao-Pao Wen
  • Wen-Der Yu
چکیده

Semiconductor hookup construction (i.e., constructing process tool piping systems) is critical to semiconductor fabrication plant completion. During the conceptual project phase, it is difficult to conduct an accurate cost estimate due to the great amount of uncertain cost items. This study proposes a new model for estimating semiconductor hookup construction project costs. The developed model, called FALCON-COST, integrates the component ratios method, fuzzy adaptive learning control network (FALCON), fast messy genetic algorithm (fmGA), and three-point cost estimation method to systematically deal with a cost-estimating environment involving limited and uncertain data. In addition, the proposed model improves the current FAL∗To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: weichih@ mail.nctu.edu.tw. CON by devising a new algorithm to conduct building block selection and random gene deletion so that fmGA operations can be implemented in FALCON. The results of 54 case studies demonstrate that the proposed model has estimation accuracy of 83.82%, meaning it is approximately 22.74%, 23.08%, and 21.95% more accurate than the conventional average cost method, component ratios method, and modified FALCON-COST method, respectively. Providing project managers with reliable cost estimates is essential for effectively controlling project costs.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Time Prediction Using a Neuro-Fuzzy Model for Projects in the Construction Industry

This paper presents a prediction model based on a new neuro-fuzzy algorithm for estimating time in construction projects. The output of the proposed prediction model, which is employed based on a locally linear neuro-fuzzy (LLNF) model, is useful for assessing a project status at different time horizons. Being trained by a locally linear model tree (LOLIMOT) learning algorithm, the model is int...

متن کامل

Construction cost estimation of spherical storage tanks: artificial neural networks and hybrid regression—GA algorithms

One of the most important processes in the early stages of construction projects is to estimate the cost involved. This process involves a wide range of uncertainties, which make it a challenging task. Because of unknown issues, using the experience of the experts or looking for similar cases are the conventional methods to deal with cost estimation. The current study presents data-driven metho...

متن کامل

ADAPTIVE NEURO FUZZY INFERENCE SYSTEM BASED ON FUZZY C–MEANS CLUSTERING ALGORITHM, A TECHNIQUE FOR ESTIMATION OF TBM PENETRATION RATE

The  tunnel  boring  machine  (TBM)  penetration  rate  estimation  is  one  of  the  crucial  and complex  tasks  encountered  frequently  to  excavate  the  mechanical  tunnels.  Estimating  the machine  penetration  rate  may  reduce  the  risks  related  to  high  capital  costs  typical  for excavation  operation.  Thus  establishing  a  relationship  between  rock  properties  and  TBM pe...

متن کامل

Chapter 14: Foundation of Neuro-Fuzzy Systems and an Engineering Application

This chapter discusses the foundation of neuro-fuzzy systems. First, we introduce Takagi, Sugeno, and Kang (TSK) fuzzy model [l,2] and its difference from the Mamdani model. Under the idea of TSK fuzzy model, we discuss a neuro-fuzzy system architecture: Adaptive Network-based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) that is developed by Jang [3]. This model allows the fuzzy systems to learn the paramete...

متن کامل

Mining of Conceptual Cost Estimation Knowledge with a Neuro Fuzzy System

Conceptual cost estimation during the early stage of a construction project plays important role for feasibility analysis and project planning. Traditional approaches rely heavily on experienced engineers, and may cause loss of conceptual estimation knowledge of the firm. This paper proposes a method integrates a previous developed conceptual cost estimation method (PIREM) with the ANFIS neuro-...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • Comp.-Aided Civil and Infrastruct. Engineering

دوره 27  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2012